The U.S. Election and How it Pertains to European Politics

In her announcement speech as party leader, our Prime Minister Theresa May promised the British people that “there will be no attempt for Britain to remain in the European Union.” That being said, she is perfectly capable of enacting article 50 immediately, but her legal team has been quoted admitting this would not be done until at least the end of 2016. This makes negotiations difficult as article 50 needs to be enacted before any negotiations can take place.
But what would a Theresa May-style Brexit even look like? Even at the Global Market Summit on September 6th, the Prime Minister claimed it was only “very improbable that Britain will remain a member for the single market” when it would seem her obvious duty to Britain is to inform the rest of the world Britain can make its own trade deals to benefit us. Not to mention how her Government has flip-flopped on immigration issues in recent weeks. Nobody in her cabinet seems to agree on whether or not we would keep the free movement of people with the European Union.

On the other hand, she claimed that a point-based system wouldn’t work and hasn’t given an explanation as to why; her only potentially promising statement on the subject being “What I say is the voice of the British people was very clear. They wanted control in the issue of the movement of people coming in from the European Union.” If you examine any aggregate poll dating back to when polls have been taken, the majority of British people have on aggregate always been opposed to immigration of all kinds. So there we have it, no clear answers on any Brexit policies and numerous cryptically worded populist sound bites.

If the Prime Minister’s record is anything to go by, she will say reasonably populist statements, followed by enacting the corporate policy. Like Cameron, it would seem she intends to convince us all she has cut a smashing deal for the UK, only to find out she has achieved nothing of substance.

In conclusion, I feel that the government will do everything it can to prevent the British people’s decision from ever coming into fruition. If the government is unable to manifest their clear intention to remain within the European Union, they will ensure our nominal departure from the Union whilst ensuring that substantively we remain under most of the same policies the British electorate believed they voted against.